Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe69506fc3eb7e44c5408ea78e48998211efb0725bf0540259d1f67dc4d31e79b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 28c | 6,076$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 3,260$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.39 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 2,078$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.09 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,056$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 865.85$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 824.57$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 73c | 499.97$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 40c | 441.08$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 432.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 352.14$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 313.35$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 257.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 15c | 195.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 72c | 182$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 41c | 149.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 147.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Yes | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 64c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes | 37c | 64.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 72c | 59.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…92d8backed Yes | 27c | 59.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 56c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 50.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 73c | 42.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 42c | 28.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 44c | 24.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 72c | 23.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 21.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.