TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Parma: Yue Yuan vs Mayar Sherif

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mayar Sherifof Yue Yuan, Mayar Sherif
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yue Yuan48c9,741$4,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,691.9593740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yue Yuan51c6,688$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,435.098,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfac7…78ebbacked Mayar Sherif55c5,991$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.548153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Mayar Sherif72c5,077$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.841,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf677…0e56backed Yue Yuan48c4,713$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.628350.5%143 W · 140 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yue Yuan39c4,552$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.096,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mayar Sherif52c4,033$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.057,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mayar Sherif62c3,836$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.854,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yue Yuan10c3,451$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.362140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef5…dc05backed Mayar Sherif72c3,360$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.784928.6%14 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Mayar Sherif59c3,196$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.666139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mayar Sherif42c3,043$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.942,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Yue Yuan13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Mayar Sherif53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.994553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mayar Sherif58c1,979$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.592,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mayar Sherif67c1,883$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.9411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…9d08backed Mayar Sherif78c1,761$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.422975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Mayar Sherif69c1,594$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.262061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yue Yuan10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yue Yuan49c1,098$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.9111945.4%54 W · 65 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Mayar Sherif51c1,064$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.321,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yue Yuan40c843.29$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.147,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Mayar Sherif74c803.6$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.124,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Mayar Sherif47c757.13$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.511,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mayar Sherif62c721.65$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.384,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Mayar Sherif56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.291,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Yue Yuan41c711.95$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yue Yuan47c689.57$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32799244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Yue Yuan51c650.67$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.352,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Mayar Sherif77c636.36$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3668157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Mayar Sherif37c613.16$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.753145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yue Yuan40c551.28$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7726451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Mayar Sherif52c425.56$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.063,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Mayar Sherif55c369.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4936852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yue Yuan49c360.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.892,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Mayar Sherif66c342.3$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.051,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Yue Yuan44c337.05$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.794,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Mayar Sherif36c324.22$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.513946.8%65 W · 74 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Mayar Sherif64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed Yue Yuan44c300$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.52729.6%8 W · 19 L-6.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Mayar Sherif52c259.35$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.281,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Mayar Sherif66c237.03$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.592,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Yue Yuan41c236.68$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0435360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Yue Yuan22c230.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.822,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93cb…3485backed Yue Yuan63c222$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8630639.9%122 W · 184 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Yue Yuan46c219.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.224747.4%117 W · 130 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yue Yuan45c211.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.328,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Mayar Sherif57c194.19$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1942934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ee…b2d4backed Mayar Sherif73c191.78$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.784673.9%34 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa9e…2264backed Yue Yuan35c176.34$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.12445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Mayar Sherif63c174.78$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5374346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yue Yuan47c173$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3195140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yue Yuan45c170$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.586835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yue Yuan57c155.82$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.163,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Mayar Sherif56c152.45$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0889850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b73…38a8backed Mayar Sherif62c144.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.099247.8%44 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yue Yuan36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Yue Yuan36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5059440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yue Yuan17c133$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.612,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33e…b4b6backed Mayar Sherif34c132.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3518545.4%84 W · 101 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yue Yuan42c132.19$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.524,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Yue Yuan33c131.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2210144.6%45 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yue Yuan44c128.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.661,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yue Yuan44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.83,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98cd…643ebacked Yue Yuan45c114.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+41.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9608…8cf3backed Mayar Sherif54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mayar Sherif78c108$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.761,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cee…bd00backed Mayar Sherif53c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.354351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yue Yuan43c103.19$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.377,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Yue Yuan44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4456062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yue Yuan44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Yue Yuan46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Mayar Sherif42c95.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7133655.1%185 W · 151 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3329…6c52backed Mayar Sherif58c92.95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mayar Sherif59c91.42$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.322,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a47…5e77backed Yue Yuan45c87.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.433528.6%10 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yue Yuan47c84.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Mayar Sherif77c76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4892674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Yue Yuan17c75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7532935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x59dc…22bebacked Yue Yuan50c74.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Yue Yuan35c72.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.251,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Mayar Sherif47c68.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.062,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a0…3a2fbacked Yue Yuan48c67.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.319335.5%33 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Mayar Sherif68c67.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5625763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yue Yuan44c67.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5885634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Yue Yuan36c64.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.362,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c3…d69ebacked Mayar Sherif55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.64875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Mayar Sherif56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.56459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Yue Yuan45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712933.3%43 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mayar Sherif55c59.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.496,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Mayar Sherif34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.821,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Yue Yuan41c58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0431366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Yue Yuan39c55.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4830672.9%223 W · 83 L+27.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yue Yuan29c53.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.68,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Mayar Sherif68c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1835187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Yue Yuan67c47.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.741,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Mayar Sherif56c45.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.092,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Mayar Sherif58c44.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3568857.3%394 W · 294 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Mayar Sherif63c41.18$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.371,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Mayar Sherif73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.