World Politics · resolved market
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dc8ccb2a429b836ec2dba5df587d5202451d7e3efccf8b305767481b17e2f5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $335,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa847…88a5backed No | 7c | 26,265$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.68 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked No | 0c | 18,332$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 55 | 0%0 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed No | 4c | 18,099$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.38 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 1c | 16,622$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…57cebacked No | 0c | 14,991$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…fc9cbacked No | 1c | 7,862$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed No | 0c | 7,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…37d8backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed No | 33c | 4,104$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 3,855$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…6452backed Yes | 2c | 3,650$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 4cpaid | +2,216.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 21c | 3,565$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.79 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…b46fbacked No | 1c | 3,428$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…3734backed No | 9c | 3,367$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 3,331$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a8…722fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,050$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +1,861.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83cc…3bcdbacked No | 0c | 2,950$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 4c | 2,435$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed No | 0c | 2,360$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 0c | 2,358$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…68acbacked No | 6c | 2,298$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 2c | 1,941$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 1,872$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed No | 6c | 1,694$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +411.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…afaebacked Yes | 2c | 1,600$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,605.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked No | 9c | 1,554$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…e24fbacked No | 1c | 1,305$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…9c74backed No | 6c | 1,258$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,246$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.69 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 2c | 1,204$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…e7cabacked No | 9c | 1,120$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…9073backed Yes | 15c | 1,050$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 19cpaid | +221.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +9,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed No | 9c | 983$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed No | 9c | 951$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 2c | 898.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…074cbacked No | 2c | 892.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 13c | 889.48$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.82 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed No | 6c | 883.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed No | 9c | 877$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 4c | 868.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed No | 9c | 868$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…4422backed No | 9c | 839.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 8c | 741.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…6279backed No | 9c | 733$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 730.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 4c | 689.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 9c | 689$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…838dbacked No | 9c | 654$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +253.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 625$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 6c | 599.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed No | 9c | 597$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 9c | 586$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +173.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…8445backed No | 30c | 557.54$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +1,618.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed No | 9c | 494$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked No | 9c | 468$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed No | 9c | 465$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked No | 9c | 460$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 451.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yes | 26c | 450$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.7 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +13.2wins | +0.49per pick | 29cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 78+0.25 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed No | 9c | 418$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 25c | 401$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…5792backed Yes | 15c | 400$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +443.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…38d2backed No | 9c | 392$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked No | 9c | 391$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 9c | 367.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed No | 9c | 355$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…5551backed Yes | 19c | 325$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +425%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…cb94backed No | 9c | 317$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed No | 9c | 316$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked No | 9c | 313$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed No | 9c | 312$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 22c | 299.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 9c | 289.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +246.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed No | 9c | 274$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked No | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +261.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 27c | 219.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 213.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 9c | 201.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed No | 9c | 179$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed No | 9c | 167$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked No | 9c | 159$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed No | 23c | 157$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +149.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked No | 9c | 156$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked No | 9c | 147$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked No | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 23c | 111.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…0ed5backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…68b9backed No | 23c | 96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…4e68backed No | 10c | 95.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…62e9backed Yes | 77c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 29c | 78.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes | 77c | 73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8f24backed No | 16c | 69.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…ea0ebacked Yes | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…c3ddbacked No | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…d215backed Yes | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…d531backed Yes | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.