Movies · resolved market
Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad96368acf470feced777fb8eca2433fb50e425c4d0ebd7ca2971085dad8af8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 31,293$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…6414backed Yes | 0c | 21,685$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 0c | 19,579$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2436…1858backed Yes | 1c | 12,882$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 11,973$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 111 | 4.5%5 W · 106 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…1ec1backed Yes | 3c | 9,369$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff8…737bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed Yes | 0c | 8,058$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 10c | 7,724$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.9 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…f93abacked Yes | 0c | 7,650$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…7b16backed Yes | 2c | 6,221$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…3f88backed Yes | 1c | 6,056$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 12c | 3,977$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.47 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 3,923$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 55c | 3,781$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.46 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,361$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadf…b1edbacked Yes | 0c | 2,745$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a77…a15cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,452$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…d249backed Yes | 1c | 2,357$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe064…62bfbacked Yes | 0c | 2,298$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…2c5ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,605$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 1c | 1,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…6022backed Yes | 14c | 1,569$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…e18abacked Yes | 30c | 1,400$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…0c48backed Yes | 1c | 1,394$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 17c | 1,240$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…9b04backed Yes | 2c | 1,079$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 19c | 1,064$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,004$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.85 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 28c | 955.7$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +335.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 7c | 901.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -78%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…dc7dbacked Yes | 2c | 850.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…53bcbacked Yes | 2c | 800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…d753backed Yes | 24c | 780$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…3827backed Yes | 1c | 742.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…8f84backed Yes | 2c | 713.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 2c | 642.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd453…75ebbacked Yes | 12c | 600$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…59f0backed Yes | 19c | 585.3$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…f899backed Yes | 4c | 583.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 12c | 531.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…14fabacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…8805backed Yes | 2c | 499.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 30c | 497.86$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 17c | 485.29$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked No | 67c | 427.52$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 5c | 423.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…ebeebacked Yes | 25c | 397.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…6112backed Yes | 14c | 360.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 10c | 359.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…adcabacked Yes | 4c | 359.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…d264backed Yes | 17c | 295.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…1dc8backed Yes | 8c | 241.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 9c | 231.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…9213backed Yes | 9c | 218.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…8053backed Yes | 11c | 200.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed Yes | 7c | 190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744d…94bfbacked Yes | 8c | 185.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 7c | 157$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a0…ca6abacked Yes | 7c | 149.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked No | 71c | 143.12$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95a…82c1backed No | 73c | 135.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 19c | 128.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 16c | 120.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…a709backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…8322backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…e7d8backed Yes | 23c | 87.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1883…e963backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…35e5backed No | 70c | 71.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 74c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…b623backed No | 73c | 42.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 74c | 32.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…3e4fbacked No | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?this page
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes won
- Will Wicked: For Good be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.