Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a22c136f277a62d27c22521a1ec1363d2edb5c657f129e509e77958dc1846d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,597,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,597,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0b0…db7dbacked Yes | 0c | 142,925$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…7441backed Yes | 0c | 82,500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…ac7abacked Yes | 0c | 82,120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc767…7e5ebacked Yes | 0c | 82,090$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564e…0c93backed Yes | 0c | 82,002$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2d…80a2backed Yes | 0c | 82,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…5b18backed Yes | 0c | 81,950$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…4726backed Yes | 0c | 81,488$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…6f38backed Yes | 0c | 81,482$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…74f6backed Yes | 0c | 81,338$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacfe…e682backed Yes | 0c | 81,100$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…ffb1backed Yes | 0c | 80,530$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…c6c4backed Yes | 0c | 80,011$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3286…35b7backed Yes | 0c | 79,540$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65a…f8f3backed Yes | 0c | 77,871$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c95…b5debacked Yes | 0c | 77,850$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…d2edbacked Yes | 0c | 76,120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…4739backed Yes | 0c | 75,840$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…8b51backed Yes | 0c | 75,820$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…b313backed Yes | 0c | 75,180$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec00…4eccbacked Yes | 0c | 75,170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…cc5abacked Yes | 0c | 74,780$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2749backed Yes | 0c | 74,220$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…334abacked Yes | 0c | 67,121$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd70d…7008backed Yes | 0c | 66,110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2695…168cbacked Yes | 0c | 66,100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…dcfbbacked Yes | 0c | 65,894$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b5…a19dbacked Yes | 0c | 65,870$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…5c92backed Yes | 0c | 65,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb718…6343backed Yes | 0c | 64,995$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…5ad3backed Yes | 0c | 64,995$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159b…b26cbacked Yes | 0c | 64,700$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f9…bda5backed Yes | 0c | 64,480$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…7f2dbacked Yes | 0c | 64,435$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…5927backed Yes | 0c | 55,110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f72…b088backed Yes | 0c | 54,910$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…ae35backed Yes | 0c | 43,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 42,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 41,488$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes | 0c | 39,720$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…0992backed Yes | 0c | 39,200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…fc90backed Yes | 0c | 34,730$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…718fbacked Yes | 0c | 33,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4e…0e55backed Yes | 0c | 32,986$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed Yes | 0c | 32,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 26,424$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Yes | 0c | 25,717$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5194…1dcabacked Yes | 0c | 21,160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…0995backed Yes | 0c | 18,440$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…1af0backed Yes | 0c | 18,440$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…bb1ebacked Yes | 0c | 18,440$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…9850backed Yes | 0c | 18,406$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…ee0bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,406$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…5a0bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,406$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece3…7cf8backed Yes | 0c | 18,406$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cd…86c7backed Yes | 0c | 18,405$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…69bfbacked Yes | 0c | 18,405$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c09…e913backed Yes | 0c | 18,404$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…0f62backed Yes | 0c | 18,404$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc116…6f30backed Yes | 0c | 18,404$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…13c1backed Yes | 0c | 18,404$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ef…7601backed Yes | 0c | 18,404$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4f…dd18backed Yes | 0c | 18,404$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…bd7dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd67…655bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c47…7a7abacked Yes | 0c | 18,400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…ba1abacked Yes | 0c | 18,400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…ad73backed Yes | 0c | 18,400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…523ebacked Yes | 0c | 18,399$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…aa04backed Yes | 0c | 18,399$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc956…2286backed Yes | 0c | 18,392$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…60b1backed Yes | 0c | 18,392$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…cd15backed Yes | 0c | 18,384$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…6180backed Yes | 0c | 18,384$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…622abacked Yes | 0c | 18,384$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…972abacked Yes | 0c | 18,380$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…af49backed Yes | 0c | 18,380$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…7147backed Yes | 0c | 18,262$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…3730backed Yes | 0c | 18,262$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…f3fbbacked Yes | 0c | 18,260$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…d70ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfff…2e55backed Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…fff4backed Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bd…d72cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…f8d4backed Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…c2a6backed Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…d9a0backed Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…e13bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e06…9269backed Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b67…4332backed Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…4cccbacked Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…110fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d9…f435backed Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…aa19backed Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3029…be79backed Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…e8c1backed Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…d533backed Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb367…980fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1b66backed Yes | 0c | 17,948$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?this page
- Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes won
- Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.