Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x011386970c8c0d93a434751249b0baff1a7c8ff819b2a33825170c6d6a86e6c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 7,042$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.31 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 11c | 5,043$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.14 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 14c | 3,868$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 12c | 3,208$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 16c | 2,501$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 11c | 2,477$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.07 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Yes | 19c | 1,605$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 13c | 1,596$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 12c | 1,168$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 16c | 422.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…9865backed Yes | 14c | 298.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 19c | 275.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 14c | 247.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…7587backed Yes | 15c | 134.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…711cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 16c | 95.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-13?this page
- Will Tottenham vs. AZ Alkmaar end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.