TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,532 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d11…c449backed No52c10,920$5,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,678.386845.6%31 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c8,467$4,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,297.442,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes48c6,939$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,608.024353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c6,203$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.745,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c5,955$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900.537,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No52c5,920$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,097.1743546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes49c4,167$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.083545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed No54c4,130$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.197441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes48c4,121$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.832864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes49c2,939$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.7813357.1%76 W · 57 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes39c2,560$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.627542.5%117 W · 158 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No52c2,414$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.314266.7%28 W · 14 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Yes48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.33977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+62.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0736…4f30backed Yes49c2,028$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No67c2,000$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.331,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed No52c1,918$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes47c1,665$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.5337641.5%156 W · 220 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No29c1,629$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.2883440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes47c1,170$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.322,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes49c1,122$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.459450%47 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No51c914.21$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.2566047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c767.99$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.561,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No55c612.04$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2564842%272 W · 376 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes44c556.6$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.66563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No49c408.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1160%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes73c400$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.62728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No29c355.08$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.864339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No53c350$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.52352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes49c344.9$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.926549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed No55c327.27$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes78c307.31$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8415371.9%110 W · 43 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes60c288.46$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.322,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes28c282.57$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2122333.2%74 W · 149 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes29c270.59$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.591723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes51c270$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.971,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes46c260.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.861,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes36c243.75$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.541838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed No52c221.14$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9950%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes24c209.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.461435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes48c205$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.65846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0813251.5%68 W · 64 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0810846.3%50 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc38e…dce8backed No58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-49.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes51c191.03$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808556.5%48 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb80a…1a43backed Yes20c151.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.78944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8411351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked No21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5250%0 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes35c140.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.22,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No52c134.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8628349.1%139 W · 144 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes60c132$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.546272.6%45 W · 17 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+35.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes49c130.62$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1422542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes54c121.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6498653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes53c114$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2411636.2%42 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes36c113.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.022934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed No70c113.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.161631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-53.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed No72c113$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.365238.5%20 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.049070%63 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805453.7%29 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506634.8%23 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed No52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes46c93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Yes46c93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2210929.4%32 W · 77 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Yes46c93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.221457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes41c87.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5632835.4%116 W · 212 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Yes49c84.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.921435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c80.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4685250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes48c79.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5951356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No52c79.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5940850.7%207 W · 201 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…78d9backed Yes51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.435133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked No52c72.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.871369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes32c72.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8367348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c24…921dbacked Yes25c70$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+68.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No29c67.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2443721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd95d…0947backed Yes63c64.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes48c64.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5829244.9%131 W · 161 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No51c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0921755.3%120 W · 97 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Yes50c57.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.841060%6 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+76.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked No41c57.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.492948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed No29c52.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.231127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No52c52.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.394043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0221256.6%120 W · 92 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No66c50.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4834158.9%201 W · 140 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Yes48c50.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.57529.3%22 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Yes34c49.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.381080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+100.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes63c48.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.133278.1%25 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes36c45.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.985536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2216346.6%76 W · 87 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a47…3df5backed Yes35c42.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.678749.4%43 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.464141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No51c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8529742.8%127 W · 170 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked No53c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.