Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76f81c777da2b6f0d9671d2b0bcdf9733730751e13bf3ef91007c3ca5ce5c84b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,415 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 4,823$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 76c | 2,758$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.66 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 1,755$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 25c | 1,250$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.95 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 599.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 20c | 471.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…518cbacked Yes | 24c | 395.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 78c | 307.69$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 14c | 292$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 78c | 211$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 25c | 204$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 75c | 199$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 22c | 190.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 159.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 155.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 135.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 19c | 133.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 23c | 128.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 11c | 117.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 107.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 13c | 96.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 16c | 74.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 74.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 64.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 58.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed No | 80c | 31.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 75c | 31.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Samsunspor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.