Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on April 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf40599ed746972a7752bcb07fbcb05bb968e8056ca5018cd67ac0063af1e7824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 13c | 1,001$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75c…fd4ebacked Yes | 73c | 997.39$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.59 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 576.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 42c | 413.73$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.61 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 358.54$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.72 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 32c | 252.55$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.8 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 23c | 249.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…f159backed No | 59c | 222.59$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 56c | 208.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…cfe9backed Yes | 60c | 202.53$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.06 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed Yes | 67c | 195.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 162.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 18c | 152.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 14c | 138$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 113.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed No | 46c | 111.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 19c | 104.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 64c | 104.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 70c | 103.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 37c | 103.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 32c | 101$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…bb18backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b77…dfdbbacked No | 24c | 99.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 70c | 99.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked No | 68c | 97.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 59c | 95.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 26c | 95.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 21c | 86.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 51c | 84.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6730…9634backed No | 62c | 79.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 69c | 79.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 39c | 76.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 46c | 75.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 70c | 70.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 35c | 63.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 62.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked No | 22c | 58.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 35c | 55.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…dd94backed Yes | 40c | 53.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…847fbacked No | 67c | 52.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 31c | 51.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 50.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 56c | 47.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 32c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 76c | 44.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 43.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…f673backed Yes | 80c | 37.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4811…be32backed Yes | 62c | 36.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes | 80c | 36.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…15eabacked No | 45c | 34.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 45c | 33.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked No | 45c | 32.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed No | 59c | 32.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 45c | 31.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…f3f3backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…4637backed Yes | 54c | 29.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…8ca0backed Yes | 67c | 29.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…2d87backed Yes | 69c | 28.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…1fefbacked Yes | 56c | 27.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed Yes | 42c | 25.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked Yes | 73c | 25.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 65c | 24.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 73c | 22.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…fb04backed Yes | 59c | 21.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…186dbacked No | 73c | 20.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…83f2backed Yes | 76c | 20.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…87b1backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 61c | 19.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 76c | 19.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…383bbacked Yes | 67c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 208 | 66.8%139 W · 69 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 57c | 19.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…ad95backed No | 67c | 18.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb822…1422backed No | 67c | 17.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 69c | 17.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…621ebacked No | 66c | 16.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 69c | 14.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on April 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on April 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.