Other European Leagues · resolved market

Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bdfca9a99ac0bcef3e4045888ba8ea5ad1ca08f2d7d325022076eaf6b7bcd7d

Rebuilt 48 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,576 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	44c	2,982$1,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,673.74	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	53c	2,684$1,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,419.63	5,604	42%2,356 W · 3,248 L	+75.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under	50c	2,106$1,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.77	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over	50c	1,937$968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$968.48	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	53c	1,632$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868.91	7,889	45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L	+11.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over	59c	1,246$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.36	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	45c	940.22$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.14	920	43.4%399 W · 521 L	-4.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over	53c	925$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.88	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under	22c	573.86$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.25	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under	44c	449.98$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.99	109	44%48 W · 61 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over	46c	437.28$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.28	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+6.0wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+38%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	42c	428.07$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.24	2,543	52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L	+18.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	56c	353$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.32	225	42.7%96 W · 129 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under	42c	334.48$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.48	206	32%66 W · 140 L	-17.5wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under	45c	312.03$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.94	134	32.1%43 W · 91 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+30%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over	50c	288.58$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.29	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under	46c	264.4$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.67	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	71c	257.15$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.56	2,309	42.8%988 W · 1,321 L	-41.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	44c	189.64$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.39	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	44c	180$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	423	47.8%202 W · 221 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	55c	130.98$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.94	546	50.4%275 W · 271 L	+15.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	41c	125$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.25	1,711	48.3%827 W · 884 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	41c	124.93$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.49	1,107	47.7%528 W · 579 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	41c	124.4$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.82	1,467	48%704 W · 763 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over	63c	118.8$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.8	46	71.7%33 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	71cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	44c	113.84$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.06	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under	45c	106.82$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.07	112	29.5%33 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	938	45.4%426 W · 512 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	46c	83.22$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.44	1,282	50.2%644 W · 638 L	-25.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695f…1b67backed Over	55c	81.82$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.82	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over	55c	76.36$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.36	65	63.1%41 W · 24 L	+8.0wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over	55c	72.73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under	43c	71.65$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.81	122	61.5%75 W · 47 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Over	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed Under	55c	50.31$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.63	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+60%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	230	61.3%141 W · 89 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over	56c	49.92$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.96	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	40c	48.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.54	268	53.7%144 W · 124 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Over	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	80	55%44 W · 36 L	+6.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	56c	44.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	373	41.6%155 W · 218 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d52…f4dfbacked Under	59c	40.92$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.14	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	47cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaabd…54fcbacked Over	59c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over	58c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over	57c	34.87$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.87	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Over	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Over	42c	34.05$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.75	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+3.0wins	+0.30per pick	30cpaid	+76.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	49c	33.14$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.29	280	49.6%139 W · 141 L	-8.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over	79c	31.74$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	62	72.6%45 W · 17 L	+7.6wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under	44c	31.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	44c	31.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	260	60.8%158 W · 102 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	44c	31.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	209	53.1%111 W · 98 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under	44c	31.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	167	56.3%94 W · 73 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under	44c	31.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	105	60%63 W · 42 L	+6.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under	44c	31.24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	111	55.9%62 W · 49 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under	44c	26.61$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-40%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Over	55c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	66cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b12…d84cbacked Under	46c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d29…531cbacked Over	54c	24.31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab93…5576backed Over	54c	24.1$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.09	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2799…8f23backed Under	46c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…d3f6backed Under	46c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d90…3bbdbacked Under	53c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d0…2908backed Under	46c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa43…0ef8backed Under	46c	23.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked Under	44c	23.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8606…c451backed Under	46c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a5…8a5cbacked Under	46c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d3…c513backed Over	54c	21.69$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.98	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…74a8backed Over	54c	21.55$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.91	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…2b69backed Under	60c	21.43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.86	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49eb…21c9backed Over	54c	21.1$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.71	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	53cpaid	+90.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under	48c	21.05$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a47…7599backed Over	54c	20.25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.31	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e96…342abacked Over	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe89…49e1backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under	56c	19.64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad21…2ecabacked Over	54c	19.22$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.84	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa871…0a57backed Over	54c	19.17$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe909…3421backed Over	54c	18.97$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.73	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5this page
Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Over won
Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Over won
Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Over won
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)Fredrikstad FK won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event