Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9a321c11a71489e1a2622fa7b43587be1619293ab4941be60e2fed96fb66df7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Over | 29c | 1,903$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 1,612$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.23 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 18c | 600$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 11c | 573.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 51c | 511.91$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.84 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 430.51$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.91 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…c3e6backed Over | 19c | 358$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 79c | 310$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.9 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 16c | 299.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.24 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 17c | 292.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.01 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 237.69$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 15c | 210$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…56ddbacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 80c | 180$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 10c | 153.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 78c | 124.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 78c | 122.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 117$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 113.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 51c | 78.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 26c | 65.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 40c | 50.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 37c | 38.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…560bbacked Over | 52c | 36.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Over | 53c | 20.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5this page
- Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.