TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,251 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over43c39,774$17,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,084.152634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under57c7,589$4,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.234643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c7,212$4,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.192,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under61c3,263$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.49988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+67.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over12c3,235$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.813863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c3,142$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.71,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over63c3,088$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.453250%16 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under71c2,904$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.7332650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under57c2,761$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.0768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under56c2,161$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.396245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under57c2,149$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.69650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under57c1,707$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.735162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under57c1,603$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over32c1,439$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.4229862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under57c1,196$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.068453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under57c1,174$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.786567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over37c1,144$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.834320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under57c854.56$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4610650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under57c818.33$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.882050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under57c775.71$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.2711346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under57c746.08$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.825754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under58c724.76$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.474365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under56c689$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.164748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under57c683.46$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.433663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under57c655.18$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.937548%36 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under58c613.16$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.064472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under57c584.52$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.347558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under57c580$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under57c553.94$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.763164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under58c527.44$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.1214752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under57c523.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.151136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under57c512.74$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.483177.4%24 W · 7 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under57c491.57$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.991872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under75c471.9$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3831051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over44c439.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2813636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Under59c419.42$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+67.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under57c409.16$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.941952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over28c405.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.65119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c401.74$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.1593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17241954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c391.06$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Over42c388.39$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.237231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over32c365.65$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.017051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under59c365.55$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.872466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under57c360.45$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1552653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over39c350.2$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.581533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under57c348.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.655450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under58c340.8$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.192857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over41c339.79$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.716937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Over57c320.74$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.261963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1237424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over18c293.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7418125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over33c290.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.983026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under59c289.31$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.624254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae2…06f0backed Over33c287.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1613826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa665…4234backed Over19c260$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under57c256.37$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.242673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8fb…28dabacked Over41c254.37$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under57c222.19$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.542748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over32c218.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.799561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under54c202.65$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.82152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over41c174.87$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.526048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under57c172.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.736258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under57c172.6$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7217354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Under58c171.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc041…a87bbacked Under59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under60c161.89$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.264557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under57c160.45$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.992552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under64c152.95$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.116357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under57c151.26$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.042763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over21c129.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6738739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under58c121.24$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.572466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over36c120.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.565740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over32c120.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.139056.7%51 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under56c115.12$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1311360.2%68 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Under58c114.47$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.43540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over32c113.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.452755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under59c102.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.021258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over32c100.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7931958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over36c100.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.823243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under57c97.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.893066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c96.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5426747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under57c95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2320452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under58c92.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.745757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under58c90.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.144942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under59c89.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.591163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Under58c88.89$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under58c87.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under58c87.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.995154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over41c86.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f55…4213backed Under57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+139.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under58c83.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.133348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Under59c83.07$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.281553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over42c76.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.012650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c74.05$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5832854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Over20c73.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7450%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over38c70.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.963847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.