Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b637dc39f32ce7866af044120669dafb0f1ab19da66c253cb76513e88027efa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 6,806$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,622.44 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 43c | 5,256$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 41c | 1,447$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.67 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 52c | 1,044$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.32 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 56c | 661.68$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.62 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 60c | 550.95$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.57 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 57c | 501.3$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.54 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Yes | 72c | 412.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 52c | 399.97$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 43c | 320.45$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 285.86$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 269.69$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed No | 45c | 215.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Yes | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 60c | 163.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 56c | 130.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Yes | 55c | 129.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 38c | 110.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Yes | 64c | 96.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 49c | 80.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 52c | 78.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 56c | 57.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 50.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed No | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 28c | 43.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…5dcfbacked No | 52c | 43.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…4f8bbacked Yes | 55c | 37.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 48c | 36.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 49c | 32.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 65c | 29.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 51c | 28.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed No | 46c | 23.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 46c | 22.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked No | 53c | 21.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 62c | 18.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.