Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07d5d2731b585237be3c943ea32cee37be72dd67c3291c727bc7940938633279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 4,788$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 68c | 3,313$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.55 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 68c | 2,941$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.55 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 66c | 2,433$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.94 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 60c | 1,464$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.6 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…f02abacked Over | 76c | 1,292$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 1,063$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.04 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 729.4$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 33c | 536.03$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.67 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 29c | 526.15$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 5cpaid | +1,112.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 447.63$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 71c | 413.06$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 78c | 378.89$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 60c | 377.98$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 15c | 309$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 69c | 289.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 278.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 33c | 240$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 33c | 240$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 33c | 221.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 19c | 214.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 71c | 207.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 76c | 198.42$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 66c | 197.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 36c | 191.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 69c | 190.39$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 61c | 183.9$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 59c | 179.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 29c | 170.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 60c | 158.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Over | 71c | 138.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 76c | 130.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 34c | 129.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 71c | 123.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 12c | 114.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +110%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 60c | 112.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 35c | 103.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked Over | 50c | 96.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Under | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 94.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 32c | 89.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 65c | 88.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 30c | 65.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 26c | 44.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Over | 56c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 33c | 38.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 29.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 72c | 26.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 69c | 25.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 69c | 21.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Over | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked Over | 73c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5this page
- SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)SS Lazio won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.