TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c19,998$9,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,598.911,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Over49c14,219$6,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,995.064845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c12,237$6,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,067.929,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under52c7,910$4,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,796.767852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over46c6,200$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.994134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7401…31a1backed Under52c4,604$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf166…9cf5backed Under52c4,604$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Under52c3,766$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.715947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Under54c2,967$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.659349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under52c2,303$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.0770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c2,134$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.571,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c1,983$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.741,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under49c1,216$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.1717349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c1,182$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.291,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under53c1,006$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.8614940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under49c941$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9131643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a85…4612backed Over52c740.49$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.61827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under52c647.75$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.2768645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Under61c607.22$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.565459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over35c564.12$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8126839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under51c405.12$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.4629344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over53c388.72$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0242348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c377.8$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.341,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over47c345$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.151,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over34c312.29$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0349938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c300$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.712,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under47c299.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9915543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under51c299.02$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4834953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under51c297$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5319550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under51c297$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5314852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over49c282.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6747436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Under71c280.94$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.475736.8%21 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over46c274.26$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.162,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under52c217.55$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c217.5$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8838432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.884850%24 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2b…c1a3backed Over48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.881361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4439448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.065133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c186.31$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.293,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c184.26$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.312,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c148.33$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.482,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c146.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.171,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over50c145.53$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over42c135$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.433030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under54c132.17$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.83,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Under66c123.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.425651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over49c119.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1633251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over49c113.78$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7555347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c108.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Over53c97.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5110737.4%40 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over37c95.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0137753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over53c92.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.581,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0966046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Under66c90.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0613953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Under54c90.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4210846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Under54c90.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4228548.4%138 W · 147 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Under54c90.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4220547.8%98 W · 107 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Under54c90.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4211450.9%58 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5589…eb04backed Under52c89.42$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.222045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over49c85.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7767248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.826745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over42c73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5678639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over42c70.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3445544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under54c68.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4449247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under54c68.34$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e8…7042backed Over44c65.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.991225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under21c64.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.921,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9502…7878backed Under77c64.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.733256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c63.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.591,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over44c62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Over31c61.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.175736.8%21 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2cf…9a91backed Under70c61.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.543161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over26c60.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.531,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c58.66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.034,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1218536.2%67 W · 118 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f52…ce1bbacked Under75c52.49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.085358.5%31 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Under54c51.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.888551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under54c51.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7220247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2449852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over60c48.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.288250%41 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c47.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.365,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.284057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over49c43.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0860945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…f401backed Under29c38.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.191353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Over51c38.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under53c36.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.361,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ce…9e59backed Over31c34.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.541050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c54…476dbacked Under76c32.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.783253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over49c25.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4122454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Over48c23.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0852240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.84634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Under54c19.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.112744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.