TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under52c18,825$9,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,116.0425248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over49c7,136$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.6417744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over50c6,759$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.515750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over60c3,194$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.694264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over40c1,722$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.682245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba12…6a47backed Over50c1,355$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under37c1,333$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.241,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under59c1,303$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.122,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c1,124$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,048$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.821247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under26c1,033$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.3920837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50068645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Under58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4205339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under35c952.19$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.241,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under47c928.96$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.532,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under60c873.97$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.5976054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7067…e41ebacked Under50c839.67$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.841338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c800$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3881,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c774.61$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.079,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over51c731.85$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.6532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over49c696.96$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.5127241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under51c570.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7615543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over50c426.8$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under60c421.56$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1220353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Over58c411.69$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.915133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c365.19$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.594,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c320.92$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.542348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under29c270$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.97441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under51c265.3$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13011346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over76c262.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2211753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Under36c238.88$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.568040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Over75c236.46$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.34734%16 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over41c232.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9526839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under32c230$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c229.17$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c227.34$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under37c220$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.411538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c7…66e4backed Over75c210.64$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.762528%7 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12617748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5c4…9a90backed Over54c194.42$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.03850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under60c194.33$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.741,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under32c190$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.740440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82e8…ffcabacked Over53c184.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.168644.2%38 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under51c183.92$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.121,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Under51c169.21$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.915736.8%21 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under34c164.88$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1778639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x440d…351fbacked Over54c163.17$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.024062.5%25 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Under37c144$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3613837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under35c136.66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.411,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under37c135$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Under37c135$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.654835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over48c133.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.238242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9502…7878backed Over79c125.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.733256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a85…4612backed Over79c125.27$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.731827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2558754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under39c122$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8831238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over50c121.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.631,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c119.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.221,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Over42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.264852.1%25 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c110.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2726745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.425,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3a…23f8backed Over70c99.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over35c95.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7712227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Over55c72.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405736.8%21 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Under30c72.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6220547.8%98 W · 107 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over54c72.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.92050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under37c72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6823649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under37c72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6821242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under37c72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6823441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under37c72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6845544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under27c67.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0429449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Over74c66.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2111761.5%72 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over50c60.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.071,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over65c59.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1741556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a7…c4b9backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7deb…7c0abacked Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…7af9backed Under50c57.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.533158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over54c55.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.616867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c53.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.582,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over50c51.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8518459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under51c51.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2735551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under35c48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.224936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2721952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2738453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3113052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf793…6265backed Over41c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.293557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c45.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.553,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under50c41.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8216369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.612841.4%53 W · 75 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Under49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1830055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de8…0a3bbacked Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under29c38.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2537753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under50c33.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.981,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.019455.3%52 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5530348.2%146 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a6…8591backed Over72c27.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.67219.5%2 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-81.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb743…c116backed Over72c27.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.672245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.