TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c9,617$4,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,712.231,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c6,459$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.193,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c6,408$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.834,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under56c3,807$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.814556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under54c2,959$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.771,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under52c2,914$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.6815849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c2,893$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.774,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c2,130$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.1790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under53c2,008$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.141,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c1,703$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c1,700$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.981,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under77c1,316$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.598361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over40c1,074$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.811,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under79c991.93$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Over64c798.54$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.756144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Over42c769.84$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.331553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Over65c754.6$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.462339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over35c718.21$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.941,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over48c689.79$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.114049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under51c686.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6231354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Under51c629.82$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.6114046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over46c580.56$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0616845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over15c557.79$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.762,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over38c543.4$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.431,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Under79c530.76$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.313860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbc…ccc1backed Under57c513.86$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.629048.9%44 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under58c417.91$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1932151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c416.72$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.995,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under54c410.22$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.768645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5fb…9df5backed Over49c404.43$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.171540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1998…be8cbacked Under77c400.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.471346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over44c393.93$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.541,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over42c393.93$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.452,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under50c384.2$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6226839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under50c371.48$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over47c369.53$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.253,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under52c359.34$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4921653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over48c347.36$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7329344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked Over45c343.82$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over47c334.03$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9913148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over44c329.31$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.331,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over46c326$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Under30c319.49$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6928554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over23c317.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.051,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under54c314.57$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over46c299.96$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9813352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Over46c299.96$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.985540%22 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over45c298.88$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.041,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Under65c293.7$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7910559%62 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over43c277.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.322,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over47c276.91$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under46c268.46$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0214852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.227441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0999…016ebacked Under57c254.51$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3413850%69 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under54c253.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.531151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf89…8ac3backed Under59c253.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.561850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5589…eb04backed Under45c245.41$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.122045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Under45c237.94$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3718534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over29c231.85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0138432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Over50c230$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over47c222.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6610750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under62c214.77$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.611,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Under48c202.52$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6512346.3%57 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over47c201.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa933…8b58backed Under29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1422100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+489.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98e0…70adbacked Over70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Under75c196.94$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.214242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under60c188.69$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8437753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6535052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6551647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.421347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over44c173.56$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.131,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Over47c166.86$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.426443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over49c166.32$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.521350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Over48c158.91$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.665133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over33c157.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.552053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over48c157.63$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.262,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over7c153.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1820353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over43c150.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.561,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Over47c143.29$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3513950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over45c140.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Over47c140.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9820040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x440d…351fbacked Under58c137.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.274062.5%25 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9502…7878backed Over72c136.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.323256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Over21c136.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.585736.8%21 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Over50c135.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.96861.8%42 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked Over48c134.66$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.642254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over46c134.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8711453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over50c133.86$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9334247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f96…6864backed Over47c133.79$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.832236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over28c131.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.272,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under55c126.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under55c126.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Under51c123.7$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.615651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Under77c123.1$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3812458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under56c122.8$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0361151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under56c122.8$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under56c122.8$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0311346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over46c119.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7516245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.