NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49a4be51a1b02e68a04f8abf01d8e877c26d2aeb61e28329ddb0fd3efc7180a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Pelicans, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 50c | 27,514$13,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,696.06 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Kings | 50c | 19,253$9,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,550.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 49c | 13,466$6,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,602.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kings | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Kings | 49c | 8,075$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,118.38 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Kings | 53c | 7,814$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,673.64 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pelicans | 51c | 7,485$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.22 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Kings | 49c | 5,907$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.45 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Kings | 52c | 4,669$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.23 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Pelicans | 58c | 3,714$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.66 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 48c | 3,026$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Kings | 50c | 2,171$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.43 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,881$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.23 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Kings | 48c | 1,755$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.57 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,730$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.93 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Kings | 51c | 1,160$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.43 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Kings | 38c | 1,062$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.2 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kings | 47c | 699.07$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.51 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Pelicans | 52c | 687.82$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.3 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 41c | 502.76$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.28 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pelicans | 49c | 485.02$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.77 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pelicans | 51c | 472.44$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.71 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Pelicans | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Pelicans | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Kings | 45c | 373.17$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.17 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 332.53$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.81 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 43c | 328.3$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Pelicans | 52c | 317.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.28 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pelicans | 52c | 309.74$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.44 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kings | 49c | 295.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Kings | 52c | 280.12$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pelicans | 52c | 278.69$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Pelicans | 52c | 278.69$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Kings | 44c | 257.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.08 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Kings | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Pelicans | 48c | 212.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.01 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Kings | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Kings | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2b…c1a3backed Kings | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pelicans | 47c | 191.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Kings | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans | 47c | 147.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Pelicans | 60c | 145.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pelicans | 49c | 143$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Kings | 53c | 139.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 52c | 130.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Pelicans | 49c | 117.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Pelicans | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kings | 43c | 109.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Pelicans | 59c | 108.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pelicans | 49c | 106.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Kings | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Kings | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Pelicans | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Kings | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Kings | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pelicans | 52c | 95.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…5304backed Pelicans | 51c | 93.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pelicans | 72c | 81.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…d1f3backed Pelicans | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kings | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Pelicans | 49c | 63.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pelicans | 49c | 62.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f1…927ebacked Kings | 44c | 59.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Kings | 48c | 57.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Pelicans | 72c | 54.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Pelicans | 46c | 53.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Pelicans | 54c | 50.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Pelicans | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e3…206fbacked Kings | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…b9b3backed Pelicans | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pelicans | 59c | 48.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Kings | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Pelicans | 46c | 46.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kings | 46c | 46.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Pelicans | 52c | 46.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kings | 33c | 43.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Kings | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Kings | 49c | 41.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 162 | 30.9%50 W · 112 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kings | 44c | 39.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…0a3bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 38.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Pelicans | 50c | 37.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c6…40babacked Kings | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Pelicans | 49c | 32.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Pelicans | 53c | 31.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Pelicans | 55c | 31.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 31.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Pelicans | 55c | 31.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Pelicans | 55c | 29.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c54…476dbacked Pelicans | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c05…f123backed Kings | 43c | 26.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Kings | 47c | 21.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Pelicans | 52c | 21.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Kings | 51c | 21.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…7ef7backed Kings | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c74…46ecbacked Pelicans | 57c | 18.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kings | 59c | 18.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)this page
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Malik Monk: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. KingsKings won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Under won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Kings won
- Yves Missi: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.