Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a88fa953fa1e1a28f39eef7c67c8527b9c82889643cecdd0f2d243b122fa3bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,935 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed No | 69c | 26,573$18,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,291.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 68c | 16,020$10,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,887.66 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 31c | 12,952$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,936.65 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 12,003$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,115.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 11,215$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,652.88 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 10,754$5,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 6,356$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.48 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 38c | 3,930$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.5 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 3,718$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.67 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 59c | 3,140$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.18 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 32c | 2,734$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.12 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 68c | 1,635$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.81 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 36c | 945.11$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.35 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 68c | 700$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 32c | 603$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.04 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 71c | 558.09$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.24 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 532$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.65 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 32c | 480.85$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.98 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 33c | 409.69$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.49 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 72c | 373.52$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…c50fbacked Yes | 75c | 337.49$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 330$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c5afbacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 68c | 290$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 28c | 286.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f3…b728backed Yes | 72c | 276.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 54c | 223.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 216.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 212.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 32c | 183$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 32c | 176.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 40c | 161.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 69c | 160$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 160$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 22c | 154.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 52c | 132.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 32c | 122.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Yes | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed No | 40c | 103.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Yes | 32c | 102.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 70c | 101.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 33c | 101.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 32c | 101.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 82.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 32c | 74.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 38c | 73.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 24c | 70.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Yes | 61c | 66.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 54.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 61c | 52.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed No | 56c | 50.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 69c | 46.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 31c | 44.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 69c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7074…f0fdbacked Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 67c | 37.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 56c | 35.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Yes | 61c | 33.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked Yes | 61c | 28.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 24.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 22.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 68c | 21.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 68c | 19.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f82fbacked Yes | 63c | 19.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 58c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will CD Nacional vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.