Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2289e7102923a16e61becd2fd89eaee22e9324c5d7c02e51c0b2723250230ace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,794 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Yes | 42c | 34,024$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,250.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 58c | 18,726$10,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,868.92 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…057abacked Yes | 0c | 9,963$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 42c | 9,000$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.33 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 6,755$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.94 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 6,069$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.75 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 1,627$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.75 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 1,129$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.75 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 80c | 875$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 707.45$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 588.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 469.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 9c | 459$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 434.23$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.32 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 42c | 404.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 40c | 320.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 11c | 289.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 253.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 14c | 176.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 58c | 158.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Yes | 10c | 147$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked No | 59c | 146.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 60c | 116.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 96.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 57c | 86.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yes | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Yes | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 58c | 80.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 56c | 80.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 39c | 78.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 45c | 75.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 57c | 74.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 42c | 74.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 58c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 56c | 66.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 41c | 65.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Yes | 43c | 57.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes | 43c | 57.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 58c | 44.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 42.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 56c | 40.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 60c | 37.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 42c | 32.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 60c | 27.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Yes | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will CD Nacional vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?No won
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.