Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b0ddb1f29b2533c3167c22db492c4ae9a594e96600ac600c1d4c4037e6fad05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,311 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 50c | 6,513$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.66 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 54c | 4,643$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 64c | 3,093$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.41 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 3,050$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.96 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 11c | 1,390$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,278$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.3 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.2 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 12c | 844.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 590.98$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 4c | 479.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 18c | 434.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 23c | 310$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 53c | 275$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 32c | 252.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 227.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 15c | 223.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.65 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 213$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 173.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.97 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 11c | 152.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 138$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 129.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Yes | 18c | 122.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 120.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked Yes | 48c | 117.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Yes | 24c | 100.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Yes | 18c | 98.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 93.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 18c | 88.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 22c | 87.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 82.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 18c | 79.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 80c | 65.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 76c | 59.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…88dbbacked No | 55c | 58.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 78c | 57.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…f517backed No | 55c | 38.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 52c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked No | 54c | 36.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…5546backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…454bbacked Yes | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 72c | 30.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Yes | 62c | 29.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3a…b960backed No | 78c | 27.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Yes | 47c | 26.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…cba8backed Yes | 52c | 25.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Yes | 47c | 25.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…985ebacked No | 71c | 20.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.