Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-15?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x204f1f224482f3d5ec6200508a5a7deb58dc71fa891053360dfe495a68d30428

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $115,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,480 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes	1c	13,334$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.88	71	7%5 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No	39c	5,368$2,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,274.44	435	46.7%203 W · 232 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes	61c	3,964$2,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,404.97	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Yes	61c	3,274$1,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	39c	3,164$1,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,914.8	2,068	48.1%995 W · 1,073 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	58c	3,123$1,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,306.53	7,889	45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L	+11.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	33c	2,732$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.66	2,130	45.8%975 W · 1,155 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes	60c	2,656$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No	48c	2,331$1,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,203.91	97	55.7%54 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Yes	60c	1,599$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	61c	1,558$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.94	297	42.8%127 W · 170 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	70c	1,277$894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.92	1,098	50.5%554 W · 544 L	-36.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes	49c	1,224$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	44cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	4c	1,200$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	106	17.9%19 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	17c	876.81$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.72	5,604	42%2,356 W · 3,248 L	+75.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes	58c	862.07$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	25c	750.61$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.26	119	23.5%28 W · 91 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	582	29.2%170 W · 412 L	-19.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes	50c	595.61$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.67	376	41.5%156 W · 220 L	-17.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes	57c	593.18$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.91	123	37.4%46 W · 77 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	40c	500$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301	670	50.6%339 W · 331 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed No	41c	487.8$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.8	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-5.4wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	113	59.3%67 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	56c	357.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	36cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes	59c	338.98$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+3.9wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes	48c	320$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.6	111	36.9%41 W · 70 L	-15.2wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf982…273cbacked Yes	60c	297.3$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	61c	293.89$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.27	1,441	51.1%736 W · 705 L	-16.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes	59c	286.44$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169	265	49.4%131 W · 134 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	59c	269.33$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.29	1,107	47.7%528 W · 579 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No	39c	256.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.41	290	52.4%152 W · 138 L	+17.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	59c	255$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.6	1,467	48%704 W · 763 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	57	63.2%36 W · 21 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	51c	249.5$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.25	2,179	48%1,046 W · 1,133 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No	65c	245.89$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.93	641	43.4%278 W · 363 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes	59c	233$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.47	237	46.8%111 W · 126 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	61c	229.51$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	327	39.4%129 W · 198 L	-22.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No	39c	215.85$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.67	96	39.6%38 W · 58 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb303…9c27backed Yes	25c	199.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa24…b2b4backed Yes	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	104	56.7%59 W · 45 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No	40c	149.99$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	217	55.3%120 W · 97 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	59c	147$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.62	1,143	53.2%608 W · 535 L	+44.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e1…55fabacked Yes	60c	146.67$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Yes	60c	133.13$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.88	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked No	46c	115$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.03	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	75	29.3%22 W · 53 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	216	44.4%96 W · 120 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3a…b960backed No	50c	97.78$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.11	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	68cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed No	45c	96.73$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.2	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No	64c	95.78$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.03	673	48.1%324 W · 349 L	-22.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No	40c	90.72$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.43	149	54.4%81 W · 68 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes	12c	90$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked No	76c	87.07$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.49	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes	60c	83.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No	40c	80.76$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.46	536	55.2%296 W · 240 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	59c	77.58$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.39	852	50.4%429 W · 423 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Yes	31c	73.23$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.94	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	46c	67.66$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.03	437	21.7%95 W · 342 L	-49.3wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x036c…e838backed Yes	60c	67.65$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.59	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.41per pick	55cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ef1…352ebacked No	77c	63.87$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.83	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x147c…546dbacked Yes	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed No	42c	54$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.32	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Yes	45c	46.47$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.03	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed No	52c	46.15$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.15	41	39%16 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No	40c	39.67$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.8	306	46.7%143 W · 163 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes	59c	38.1$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.48	110	52.7%58 W · 52 L	+7.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	40c	38.01$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.82	2,334	46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No	40c	35.67$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.26	223	33.2%74 W · 149 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	104	39.4%41 W · 63 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes	59c	34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes	59c	34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb484…68e4backed Yes	59c	33.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x461a…1ae0backed Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	64cpaid	-26%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9df…1e41backed Yes	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Yes	52c	32.69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	58cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No	40c	30.48$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.34	86	65.1%56 W · 30 L	+11.6wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	39c	26$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.86	124	56.5%70 W · 54 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed Yes	63c	25.23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.89	106	52.8%56 W · 50 L	-8.0wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes	60c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	101	55.4%56 W · 45 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa991…f266backed Yes	60c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-41%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No	68c	21.58$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.89	32	78.1%25 W · 7 L	+4.7wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	48c	21.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	834	40.8%340 W · 494 L	-35.3wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd91c…985ebacked No	51c	20.21$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.83	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd074…5a54backed Yes	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201d…2e13backed Yes	56c	19.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…7ea1backed Yes	63c	17.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-15?this page
Will FC Twente '65 vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?No won
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-15?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-15?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event