Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae4ade3a90fec8d36b78366952f1a26f0d22b4eea13645fa7dd7a6bf0a1d83d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,365 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 25c | 1,249$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.05 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 72c | 1,088$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.63 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 1,058$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 77c | 1,028$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae66…3d04backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 953.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 800.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…5c43backed Yes | 27c | 472.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 184.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 17c | 134.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba5…ee07backed Yes | 30c | 107.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 71c | 89.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 71.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…454bbacked Yes | 17c | 68.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 16c | 65.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb484…68e4backed Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…afc9backed No | 72c | 30.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 28.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 76c | 24.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 20.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed No | 77c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed No | 76c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.