MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa84685084fdb4d0b7a9158e88a3179bd5d50800537b92edfc5c2f909e9c572b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe7…36acbacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 22,145$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 10,448$8,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.24 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 9,604$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,411.93 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 9,472$4,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.94 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 9,130$4,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,747.71 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 5,987$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.11 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 4,875$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.05 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 4,034$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.79 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Washington Nationals | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +339.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Washington Nationals | 0c | 3,788$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 3,205$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.58 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 2,589$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.21 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,585$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.04 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 2,584$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.12 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 2,283$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.22 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…019cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 2,069$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.32 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,836$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.45 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…b0f0backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,437$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.44 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,329$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.06 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 1,215$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.39 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 1,074$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.1 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 1,035$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.18 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 999.96$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 881.98$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.2 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Washington Nationals | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 796.64$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.89 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 684.83$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 670.11$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.84 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 639.83$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.99 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 572.44$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.63 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 553.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.24 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 490.16$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.69 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 475.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 470.62$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.72 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…8715backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 403.04$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 387.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.67 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Washington Nationals | 22c | 369.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 483 | 43.3%209 W · 274 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 356.96$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.34 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Washington Nationals | 73c | 348.28$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 343$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 342.64$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.17 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 313.74$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 308.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.31 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 304.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 299.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 287.96$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Washington Nationals | 17c | 286$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 278.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 273.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.13 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 258.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 257.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.55 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 255.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 246.46$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 20c | 241.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 240.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 223.48$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 220.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 209.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 208.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 200.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 193.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…3d9dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 192.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 189.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 188.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 188.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 187.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 183$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 181.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 176.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 175.55$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 169.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 163.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…7a04backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 160.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 151.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 147.83$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 147.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 147.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 147.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 138.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 126.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Nationals | 69c | 122.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…e21ebacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 121.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 119.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Washington Nationals | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 116.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd82…4068backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 114.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.