Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a7b1dfc2ad607b436fe0df110b912fdf9b0329d99f08d0a167dcc5988d0b21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 36c | 21,050$7,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,577.84 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 8,696$5,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.97 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 8,223$5,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 1,091$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.53 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 858.51$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.71 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 633.05$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 606.34$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 26c | 574.46$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 560.31$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.92 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 65c | 517.5$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.27 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 65c | 517.5$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.27 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 401.58$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 64c | 389.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 66c | 385.06$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 28c | 325$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 64c | 277.27$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 77c | 256$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 66c | 223.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 29c | 204.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 188.46$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed No | 58c | 172.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked No | 65c | 155.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 65c | 154.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 65c | 154.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 141.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 141.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 124$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 112.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed No | 75c | 103.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 27c | 101.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 97.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 89.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 75.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1846…6de1backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 24c | 64.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes | 50c | 63.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 74c | 54.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed No | 64c | 52.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 28c | 51.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 25c | 43.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 67c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 40.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 66c | 37.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked No | 70c | 33.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 29.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 49c | 23.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked No | 75c | 21.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 65c | 20.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…0f60backed No | 75c | 20.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 76c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4666…3a55backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 75c | 15.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.4wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 75c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-03?No won
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.