Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-03?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7277ecc7d6893b645a3fa9abcf9eaf08b13f7046c6f0bec09389a21d25d51b13

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $47,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,592 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0c84…a8edbacked No	50c	3,690$1,835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,855.41	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes	57c	3,600$2,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,052	170	42.9%73 W · 97 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No	50c	3,143$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.86	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	50c	2,951$1,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,473.06	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Yes	5c	2,527$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.54	91	13.2%12 W · 79 L	-9.5wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	51c	2,178$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108.24	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	44c	2,059$912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,146.6	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	62c	1,729$1,081 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.64	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	54c	1,156$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.55	768	42.6%327 W · 441 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ae…ed64backed Yes	44c	1,125$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes	46c	1,087$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes	53c	972.47$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.41	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	6c	946.42$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.46	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	71c	849.99$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.24	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	52c	849.72$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.82	845	49%414 W · 431 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes	52c	750$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	164	37.2%61 W · 103 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	53c	597.39$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.12	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.8	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No	47c	493.18$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.13	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	54c	476.98$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.12	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No	47c	398.14$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.83	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No	76c	397.41$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.22	533	44.8%239 W · 294 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes	56c	380.98$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No	75c	377.81$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.96	235	56.2%132 W · 103 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No	74c	338.35$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.35	167	57.5%96 W · 71 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed No	50c	337.38$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.22	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Yes	57c	324.94$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.22	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+63.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes	51c	274.51$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	52c	249.58$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.99	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No	46c	235.51$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.85	698	51.1%357 W · 341 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ce…3cf8backed Yes	52c	208.41$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-30%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	48c	199.98$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.49	594	45.5%270 W · 324 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No	46c	193.3$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.38	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked No	60c	192.33$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.1	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No	54c	173.72$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.51	110	55.5%61 W · 49 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed No	47c	159.57$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.57	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No	65c	159.39$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.06	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	53c	157.16$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.61	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	43c	149.49$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.21	809	53.6%434 W · 375 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No	47c	145.08$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.89	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No	48c	140.75$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.73	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.17per pick	57cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes	29c	110$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.6	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No	47c	102.58$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.19	44	72.7%32 W · 12 L	+5.8wins	+0.13per pick	60cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	110	48.2%53 W · 57 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf791…57f5backed No	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…a69bbacked Yes	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cb…126cbacked Yes	46c	99.98$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.79	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No	45c	90.97$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.58	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No	46c	90$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.6	42	71.4%30 W · 12 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No	47c	85.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No	48c	79$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.33	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes	49c	77.51$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.95	571	50.4%288 W · 283 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes	52c	76.4$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.73	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes	57c	70$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7743…1baebacked Yes	50c	70$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes	51c	69.69$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Yes	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed No	55c	62.42$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.09	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No	71c	60.18$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No	48c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	69	66.7%46 W · 23 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No	49c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.9	101	68.3%69 W · 32 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes	51c	59.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	285	31.2%89 W · 196 L	-20.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes	51c	59$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.09	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11ac…4326backed Yes	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Yes	34c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes	54c	46.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	137	46%63 W · 74 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	279	55.9%156 W · 123 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-7.8wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f0d…bea7backed No	47c	33.91$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.91	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes	51c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Yes	54c	32.56$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.58	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-4.4wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Yes	51c	31.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92c8…547fbacked Yes	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Yes	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c9…0d57backed Yes	46c	27.59$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.69	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	53cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51c9…8825backed No	47c	26.6$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed Yes	53c	26.42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No	45c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.75	410	40.5%166 W · 244 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes	46c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes	52c	24.7$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	419	56.3%236 W · 183 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No	50c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb277…c7eebacked No	49c	22.93$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.69	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes	57c	22.32$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8267…f7b7backed No	46c	21.98$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.87	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Yes	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4024…4f45backed Yes	54c	19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-03?this page
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?No won
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-03?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-03?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event