West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa98ec215a89294bab81a4e2db641c3de016a04e4c4f01c00eafde39ea3b7c385

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,910 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under	26c	6,752$1,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,747.12	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	26c	4,326$1,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,132.76	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over	74c	2,038$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.83	154	70.8%109 W · 45 L	+22.5wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over	74c	2,028$1,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.28	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Over	74c	1,939$1,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.16	75	48%36 W · 39 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over	73c	1,367$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.8	30	80%24 W · 6 L	+3.8wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+16%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over	73c	1,096$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.18	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Over	73c	1,096$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.85	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+7.4wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+71.6%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	21c	1,001$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.27	1,179	50%590 W · 589 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Under	26c	964.74$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e9…2732backed Over	73c	964.48$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.48	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	68cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	78c	823.2$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.32	740	56.9%421 W · 319 L	+46.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d8…dd09backed Over	80c	729.76$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.95	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	64cpaid	+23%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over	75c	602.73$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.19	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	+7.0wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under	24c	591.39$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.09	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-7.5wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-56%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	78c	542.41$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.18	964	45.4%438 W · 526 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over	73c	405.08$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.07	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over	65c	390.19$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.86	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over	75c	366.25$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.75	25	80%20 W · 5 L	+3.8wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over	71c	313.41$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.89	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	74c	280$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.8	300	59.7%179 W · 121 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	25c	222$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	1,923	42.4%815 W · 1,108 L	-42.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over	78c	196$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.12	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	73c	170.28$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.37	407	21.9%89 W · 318 L	-53.3wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	74c	162.15$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.16	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	26c	156.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.16	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Over	66c	152.63$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.63	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	+100.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed Over	72c	150$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under	27c	150$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under	20c	143.24$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.57	221	46.2%102 W · 119 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over	74c	143.01$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.19	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	119	69.7%83 W · 36 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over	72c	138.13$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.13	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over	73c	136.94$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.84	22	81.8%18 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	72cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x524b…73a2backed Over	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked Over	72c	110$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.8	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa014…00c8backed Under	15c	106.01$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	596	45.5%271 W · 325 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed Over	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed Over	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over	64c	99.98$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.99	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Under	27c	92.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	35c	89.61$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.42	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…1df8backed Under	31c	81.01$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.82	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	63c	79.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over	68c	76.06$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.34	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Under	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	33c	71.94$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.48	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Under	24c	70.06$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.81	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over	79c	70$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.04	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	74c	69.99$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.25	411	60.1%247 W · 164 L	+22.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over	70c	69.73$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.92	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	+9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	32c	64.97$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	33c	61.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.49	1,208	42.2%510 W · 698 L	-27.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd28…50adbacked Over	72c	59.72$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.72	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under	27c	54.51$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.47	206	51.9%107 W · 99 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over	77c	51.08$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over	73c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5617…38fcbacked Over	73c	48.08$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.08	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	73c	45.7$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.34	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	76c	44.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	158	66.5%105 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	28c	41.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.77	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5578…f06cbacked Over	79c	40.51$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.51	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	32c	38.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	235	56.2%132 W · 103 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e3…242cbacked Under	32c	38.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.23	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over	78c	38.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.54	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Over	73c	35.41$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.56	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-50%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over	73c	34.25$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.25	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under	38c	31.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over	63c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	105	69.5%73 W · 32 L	+10.3wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over	79c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.36	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4812…8758backed Over	79c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over	72c	23.51$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.61	177	59.9%106 W · 71 L	-16.7wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over	74c	21.61$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.62	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over	74c	21.61$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.62	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6adc…c274backed Over	73c	21.19$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6254…892fbacked Over	72c	20.03$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.61	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.22per pick	63cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Over	65c	15.98$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.59	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+4.3wins	+0.24per pick	48cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over	68c	15.91$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.09	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Over	75c	13.34$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.33	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5this page
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event