Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ece820247fb13587d76411d6262c67c0de62bc1d324c712514826c0f3b44dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 0c | 265,312$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.63 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 1c | 64,466$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.01 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…43d9backed Over | 9c | 6,229$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 14c | 2,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 1,206$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 10c | 1,043$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 4c | 399.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 13c | 374.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Over | 12c | 164.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.4wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Over | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Over | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked Over | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 14c | 102.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7685backed Over | 12c | 101.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…a2ecbacked Over | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.