Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb317c5e0769177b63b9e78146fd4b7509f7d1891f54e3012acd800da8bdd226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 70c | 2,030$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.48 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 1,595$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.47 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.17 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 28c | 1,393$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.86 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 1,345$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.69 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 3c | 1,232$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…de49backed Over | 38c | 918.36$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed Under | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over | 36c | 555.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.6 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 21c | 475$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.25 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Under | 5c | 413.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Under | 68c | 326.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.35 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 71c | 305$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Under | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Over | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 72c | 232$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.04 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 76c | 205.27$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.92 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 76c | 204.83$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 76c | 203.94$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 76c | 203.94$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 76c | 203.94$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 72c | 192.08$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 13c | 189.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 76c | 186.9$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.86 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 74c | 173.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 26c | 167.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Over | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Over | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 71c | 136.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 26c | 131.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 33c | 125.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 72c | 118$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over | 28c | 117.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 80c | 117.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 80c | 117.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…4175backed Under | 10c | 114.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…02ccbacked Over | 25c | 110$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed Over | 25c | 109.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 71c | 106.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 100.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 77c | 97.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 71c | 96.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 72c | 94.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 72c | 94.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 80c | 92.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 68c | 89.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 76c | 72.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 28c | 48.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 407 | 42%171 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 33c | 41.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 74c | 39.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 411 | 60.1%247 W · 164 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 80c | 37.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 33c | 33.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Under | 77c | 33.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 78c | 32.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 33c | 32.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Under | 71c | 29.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…266ebacked Under | 76c | 24.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 68c | 22.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed Under | 74c | 21.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 74c | 21.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Under | 72c | 20.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Under | 74c | 19.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 77c | 19.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 71c | 15.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fd…4df6backed Under | 72c | 14.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.