Other European Leagues · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ee766c292e8e8d4e12da18adcf4736077a19454a0c783f7c8a7c938e195be3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 25c | 4,770$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.47 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 4,699$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 37c | 1,332$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.66 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 66c | 989.47$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.26 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 666.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 47c | 629.39$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.57 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 39c | 499.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 435.88$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 74c | 363.05$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 35c | 299.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 40c | 250.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 232.41$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under | 51c | 157.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 137.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 60c | 122.55$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 84.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 37c | 58.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 27c | 44.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 74c | 43.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 74c | 38.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 54c | 37.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…fa8dbacked Under | 62c | 30.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…3724backed Under | 75c | 26.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 76c | 25.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…f516backed Under | 61c | 24.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 75c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 74c | 21.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 61c | 20.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Aalesunds FK won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-2.5)Aalesunds FK won
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.