Other European Leagues · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadde12e6d3dc9d68e0e4bfb22cb890baa90c6479029fabf16203bcf79f1ac7cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,028$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 56c | 998.52$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.52 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 741.26$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.35 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 48c | 401.56$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.81 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Yes | 63c | 239.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 46c | 235.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Yes | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 46c | 184.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 54c | 183.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 57c | 176.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 137.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 55c | 87.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 55c | 49.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 46c | 41.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 46c | 36.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 55c | 31.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…f516backed Yes | 55c | 27.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Aalesunds FK won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-2.5)Aalesunds FK won
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.