Other European Leagues · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4892e90da7fe1029d161bfc0cea2a7a1899b0e709b30deacb271c97d0d252e16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,784$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.75 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 1,771$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.16 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 1,191$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.28 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 1,091$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.97 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 67c | 699.99$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 648.57$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 645.7$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.28 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 55c | 429.04$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.97 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 38c | 395.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 354.33$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.66 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 50c | 309.37$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 49c | 291.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 57c | 263$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 40c | 250.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 218.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 210.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 45c | 204.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 47c | 198.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 60c | 163.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 63c | 159.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 55c | 146.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 62c | 106.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 39c | 82.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 62c | 79.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 53c | 75.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 74c | 70.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 37c | 70.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 58c | 69.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 41c | 64.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 64.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 55c | 63.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…d3f4backed Over | 58c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 68c | 58.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 40c | 55.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 42c | 49.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Over | 53c | 41.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 33.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…5a88backed Over | 61c | 32.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 57c | 31.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 41c | 28.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…23c5backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 65c | 23.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 44c | 23.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…c03dbacked Over | 60c | 21.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 65c | 19.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…fa8dbacked Under | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Aalesunds FK won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-2.5)Aalesunds FK won
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tromsø IL vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.