WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 187.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1785902a4160fb359bb1fe96b7a6392c694e9fff5e44fe63bb7fe2db41085fa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 11c | 4,356$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.03 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 3,914$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 3,585$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.58 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Under | 56c | 2,593$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 41c | 1,978$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.02 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 1,743$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.58 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 47c | 1,291$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.72 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 55c | 880.71$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.7 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 61c | 838.26$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.17 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 772.1$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.44 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 323.8$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Under | 72c | 206$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 176$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Under | 64c | 75.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 47c | 49.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Over | 48c | 48.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 48.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…4ac7backed Under | 52c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 74c | 25.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Over | 47c | 24.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 50c | 22.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 187.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto TempoMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 188.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.