WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 188.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x560e432575401997fc9429bb78092b2ff49a51511f52adfb27d4e31f0668959b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 58c | 4,498$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.18 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 26c | 4,259$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.75 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 3,167$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.78 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 2,138$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.88 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 1,432$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.72 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Under | 58c | 1,176$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.02 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 56c | 1,037$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 40c | 622.54$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.43 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 42c | 585$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 38c | 534$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 56c | 473$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Over | 42c | 415.44$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Under | 58c | 325.02$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 275.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 43c | 266.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 67c | 239.27$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 239$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 56c | 182.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 122$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 20c | 117.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 51c | 104$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 64c | 101.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 29c | 77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 56c | 60.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 56c | 59.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 45c | 57.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 29c | 49.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 56c | 45.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 27c | 44.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 43.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 42c | 30.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Under | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 56c | 28.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46ae…b9d9backed Over | 48c | 27.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Over | 48c | 22.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 56c | 21.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 188.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto TempoMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 187.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.