WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c16e552ce0a46108e735db1cf1e5efa5ac2cc3a1af459cc18359ce5b7b6736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 2,541$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.03 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 2,180$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.78 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 2,051$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 1,756$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.03 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 1,742$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.39 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 1,550$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.87 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,530$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 1,026$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Tempo | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 836$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.44 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 760.36$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.09 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 689.47$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.84 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…7fd6backed Toronto Tempo | 34c | 642.16$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 586.87$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.78 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 472.5$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.88 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 459.51$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.56 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 454.15$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.4 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Toronto Tempo | 28c | 358.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 308$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 300$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 286$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 281.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.18 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 225$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Toronto Tempo | 55c | 204$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 204$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Toronto Tempo | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 60c | 169.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 103$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 79.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 72.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 54.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 54.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 52.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 52.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 48.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 42.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6054backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8f…f96abacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…1b39backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 37.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 37.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…13febacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 36.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 31.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 31.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Minnesota Lynx | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cb…23dfbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Toronto Tempo | 58c | 26.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 24.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 24.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 21.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto TempoMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 187.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 188.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.