WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5184c12f4adf992b2369ab399630eb3fb1c1ca1cfda51ab300ed5b3c231dd628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 3,813$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.27 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 2,104$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.76 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 1,737$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.18 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 1,561$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.45 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 1,488$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.43 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 1,161$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.46 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 1,140$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.75 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 1,042$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.79 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 546.74$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Tempo | 30c | 440.15$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 364.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Minnesota Lynx | 70c | 243.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Minnesota Lynx | 70c | 218.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 218.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…8b66backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac40…f5b9backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…1201backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 174.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…de1abacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 123.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 71.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 60.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 49.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 47.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Toronto Tempo | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 22.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…4ac7backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Minnesota Lynx | 70c | 16.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto TempoMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 185.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 187.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 188.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.