TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Querétaro FCof Tigres de la UANL, Querétaro FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,532 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…e319backed Tigres de la UANL20c5,006$1,001 inLost-$1,001.2934747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Tigres de la UANL6c1,294$71 inLost-$71.392,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Querétaro FC80c1,250$1,000 inWon+$2501,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Tigres de la UANL21c762.33$161 inLost-$161.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Querétaro FC80c581.06$465 inWon+$116.211,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Querétaro FC79c413$324 inWon+$88.7642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tigres de la UANL4c383.09$15 inLost-$15.3125635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Tigres de la UANL20c165$33 inLost-$3349136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Querétaro FC77c160.76$123 inWon+$37.769158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Tigres de la UANL22c153.7$34 inLost-$33.8112755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Querétaro FC80c124.3$99 inWon+$24.8655250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcbc…96a1backed Querétaro FC80c120.58$96 inWon+$24.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Tigres de la UANL12c100$12 inLost-$11.535246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Querétaro FC79c92.2$73 inWon+$19.3618247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Querétaro FC80c70.14$56 inWon+$14.0333152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Tigres de la UANL20c68.99$14 inLost-$13.829653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Querétaro FC79c63.29$50 inWon+$13.296561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Querétaro FC80c43.75$35 inWon+$8.757463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Querétaro FC80c40$32 inWon+$823253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Querétaro FC74c36.62$27 inWon+$9.522,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed Querétaro FC80c22.72$18 inWon+$4.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Querétaro FC76c20$15 inWon+$4.81770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Querétaro FC76c15$11 inWon+$3.62365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.