South American Leagues · resolved market
Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x600a87a2957c4d82057158e7995dfcf02d3a990a5b1fb2ec9cb6302a925da61e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 56c | 1,952$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.3 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 48c | 1,704$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.92 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 1,301$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.44 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 1,299$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.61 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 51c | 1,246$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.46 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 995.69$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.8 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 68c | 984.54$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.05 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 943$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.5 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 437.48$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 49c | 403.71$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.89 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 33c | 304.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 50c | 302$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 49c | 247$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…4727backed Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…1523backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 51c | 178$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Over | 50c | 137.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Under | 51c | 119.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 113.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 51c | 100.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 51c | 94.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 51c | 94.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 51c | 51.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c3…3a1dbacked Under | 50c | 39.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 51c | 36.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 65c | 35.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 51c | 30.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 53c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5this page
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 5.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Querétaro FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Querétaro FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Querétaro FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.