South American Leagues · resolved market
Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd112e8b151e3ca950ff66da3a58afe506b7431c518fb91bd9b7a5fcfa42e1141
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 28c | 4,113$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.36 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 27c | 1,773$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.45 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,513$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Under | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.55 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 879.38$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.16 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 28c | 829$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.88 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Over | 28c | 665.13$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 409.31$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 60c | 305$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 21c | 294.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 65c | 280.5$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 10c | 275$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 25c | 266.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 78c | 261.84$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 28c | 212.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.2 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 71c | 181.69$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…209dbacked Under | 72c | 172.83$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 166.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 59c | 149.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 62c | 114.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 76c | 114$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 60c | 94.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 77c | 78.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 72.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 77c | 70.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 63c | 65.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 28c | 60.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…41b2backed Over | 24c | 59.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 20c | 56.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 58c | 51.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 73c | 49.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 36c | 40.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Over | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 69c | 35.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Under | 71c | 21.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 56c | 21.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 62c | 19.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5this page
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 5.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Querétaro FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Querétaro FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Querétaro FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.