South American Leagues · resolved market
Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x794532f5b05d9382344a761ed708e0989cd2a94b1592559a43783639322c9780
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 54c | 15,273$8,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,190.27 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 9,699$4,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 40c | 5,000$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.54 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 4,408$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 4,184$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 58c | 2,575$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.56 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 53c | 1,338$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.1 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 56c | 1,061$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.61 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 54c | 953.73$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.69 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 46c | 714.39$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.47 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 68c | 456.15$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.3 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 48c | 419.85$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 66c | 415.06$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 11c | 411.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 41c | 321.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 62c | 304.92$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Over | 34c | 284.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.8 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 15c | 220.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 51c | 181.01$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 50c | 180.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 15c | 165.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 57c | 164.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 150.91$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 47c | 149.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 34c | 147.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…0c80backed Over | 47c | 146.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 62c | 141.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 35c | 138.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 33c | 131.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 58c | 131$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 28c | 128.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 39c | 122.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 48c | 110.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 59c | 106.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 45c | 101$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 26c | 91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Over | 49c | 79.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 26c | 79.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 36c | 78.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Over | 60c | 72.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 52c | 72.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 52c | 72.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 44c | 71.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Under | 77c | 69.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 32c | 63.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 59c | 62.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 48c | 56.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 51.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 41c | 43.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 52c | 43.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 49c | 40.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 60c | 39.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 53c | 39.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 49c | 37.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 48c | 35.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe249…a684backed Over | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 73c | 30.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 38c | 30.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 55c | 27.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 42c | 27.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 46c | 24.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 54c | 19.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 53c | 19.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5this page
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 5.5Under won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Querétaro FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Querétaro FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Querétaro FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.