WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6da99503667a871a880bc5e462ce3151f8449f4d88e20c10a7283db3db22f0b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.95 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 3,968$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.79 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 3,387$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.39 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 52c | 2,342$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.53 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 738.95$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.42 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 665.81$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.64 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 40c | 448.7$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Over | 59c | 322.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 54c | 304.74$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.56 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 55c | 269.15$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 49c | 253.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 32c | 239.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 219.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 54c | 203.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 56c | 192$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Under | 47c | 159.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 54c | 151.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 49c | 106.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 54c | 94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 78.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 61c | 75.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 54c | 70.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 63.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 61.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 34c | 49.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 55c | 47.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…2e5bbacked Over | 55c | 41.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 48c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 56c | 29.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 50c | 29.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2b…b91fbacked Over | 74c | 29.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Under | 48c | 29.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Over | 51c | 24.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 60c | 22.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 60c | 22.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…270abacked Over | 60c | 22.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 60c | 22.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 60c | 22.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 47c | 22.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 52c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…224abacked Over | 56c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…07d7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5850…7f26backed Under | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 67c | 15.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 165.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago SkyMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.