WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb6d68a6bb37b4e1456da132cdb6f0e4e0e0a72dcfe6a7d9f74c2518d9d30e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Minnesota Lynx, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.96 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 15,059$7,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,830.68 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 8,937$4,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,643.37 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc4…4730backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 6,062$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.39 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…a1c5backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 4,112$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 3,968$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.39 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…a7dfbacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 1,645$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 1,606$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.07 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago Sky | 33c | 1,006$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.05 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 946$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.61 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 941.84$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.51 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 420$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 412.83$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.67 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 397.62$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.24 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 325.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 312.36$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 290$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 277$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 265$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 260$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 225.69$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…ece7backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 189.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Chicago Sky | 31c | 186.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 178.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 171.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 68c | 159.96$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 152$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 134.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 106.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 103$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 69c | 92.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Chicago Sky | 16c | 87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 65c | 79.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 79.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 66c | 68.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…af3cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 55.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 40.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Minnesota Lynx | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 29c | 39.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…d911backed Minnesota Lynx | 62c | 35.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 33.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 33.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 33.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 33.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 31.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 26.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…fd35backed Minnesota Lynx | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0979backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 24.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 23.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Minnesota Lynx | 70c | 20.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago SkyMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 165.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.