WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf9d3e6fe21b887a35e46154b42eb986d63afe9f799b25084d6f48af2d332d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 3,054$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.97 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,060$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.42 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 52c | 1,969$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.81 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 1,919$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.64 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 979.93$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.29 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 921.55$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.42 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 49c | 821.62$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.21 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 51c | 581.82$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 528$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.88 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 51c | 522.45$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.45 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Over | 68c | 449.94$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 32c | 429.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.36 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 55c | 384.62$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Under | 46c | 343.71$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Over | 47c | 342.55$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Under | 47c | 319.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.59 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 53c | 265$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.85 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 65c | 260.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.21 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 47c | 116.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 106.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 93.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 55c | 80.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 33c | 57.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 54c | 48.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Under | 47c | 46.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Over | 76c | 32.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 30.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 36c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…07d7backed Over | 76c | 26.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 51c | 24.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 54c | 24.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 49c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 166.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago SkyMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 165.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.