WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x350671451762b214d5bc49883d32fddefc64024eb151cd98327cf8045075ae5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 1,141$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.89 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 783$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.1 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 701.32$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.72 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Under | 55c | 541.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.65 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under | 58c | 403.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229b…331fbacked Over | 37c | 345.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 65c | 307.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 230.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 220.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 49c | 210.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 46c | 209.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 132.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Over | 53c | 122.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 42c | 119.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 46c | 105.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 55c | 82.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 40c | 72.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 41c | 68.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 41c | 43.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…270abacked Over | 41c | 38.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 38c | 26.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 57c | 17.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago SkyMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 165.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 166.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.