WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02a2d6baea39fef9eaf2cd141eed6c15b91d8a923c90d410128305ec0a445907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 45c | 472.36$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.89 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 76c | 407.85$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Under | 75c | 400.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Under | 55c | 280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 252.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.61 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 24c | 233.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 218.27$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…d068backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 170$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 118.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 57c | 107.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed Under | 53c | 106.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 55c | 105.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc185…7020backed Over | 42c | 87.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 47c | 67.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 54c | 43.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 48c | 43.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 57c | 41.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 30c | 40.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…e589backed Over | 47c | 36.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed Over | 47c | 35.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…ba5fbacked Over | 47c | 34.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 51c | 28.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2b…b91fbacked Under | 78c | 28.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Over | 51c | 24.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 19.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5this page
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto TempoPortland Fire won
- PortlandFire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-5.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.