WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a39f36e26f79cba47c81357a134c500f73465e66f06024de66d50bd36f829aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5af4…a7dfbacked Under | 52c | 13,853$7,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,203.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 52c | 11,258$5,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,878.19 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 6,076$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.62 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 53c | 4,019$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.81 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.33 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 48c | 2,896$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.92 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 2,522$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.44 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 2,502$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.67 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 1,536$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.96 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 66c | 1,251$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.91 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 1,149$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.72 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Over | 48c | 1,054$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 48c | 912.5$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 855.92$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.7 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 48c | 828.54$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.84 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 47c | 752.47$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 46c | 355.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 54c | 223.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0171…0a60backed Over | 47c | 209.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 187.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Under | 10c | 174.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 174.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 47c | 159.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 155.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 54c | 155.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 48c | 153.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Over | 47c | 119.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 55c | 113.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd021…12b5backed Over | 51c | 111.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…9f08backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 48c | 83.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 47c | 62.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 44.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 47c | 41.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 47c | 39.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Under | 80c | 37.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a485backed Under | 54c | 37.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Under | 54c | 33.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 47c | 31.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Over | 47c | 31.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 37c | 29.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 47c | 27.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 48c | 27.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 48c | 26.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 48c | 21.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Under | 79c | 18.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5this page
- Portland Fire vs. Toronto TempoPortland Fire won
- PortlandFire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Toronto Tempo (-5.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.