MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156be193bff98528302b03a5dbfbed8c74d6c8e233f2318191177a22800b0be5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $523,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $526,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 51c | 167,433$85,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,138.09 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…4487backed Under | 51c | 106,579$54,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,763.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 40c | 71,287$28,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,343.9 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 50c | 60,649$30,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,336.93 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Over | 49c | 57,639$28,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,243.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 47,985$25,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,169.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 49c | 33,189$16,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,765.09 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 27,274$16,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,568.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 49c | 24,255$11,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,884.95 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 21,629$10,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,030.79 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 17,544$8,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,416.24 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 53c | 16,579$8,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,776.49 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…7c54backed Over | 0c | 12,400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Under | 52c | 10,577$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.92 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 49c | 9,926$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,863.66 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 34c | 9,346$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.35 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 49c | 7,612$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.12 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 49c | 6,511$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.17 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 6,107$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.57 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 6,004$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.08 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.82 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 5,005$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…ae91backed Under | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 4,964$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 4,687$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.64 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Under | 51c | 3,266$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.34 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 49c | 2,915$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.43 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 49c | 2,915$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.43 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 48c | 2,900$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 2,384$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.31 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 29c | 2,239$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.41 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 49c | 2,145$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.47 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 1,860$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.4 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 1,677$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.47 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 70c | 1,591$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.03 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 49c | 1,458$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.75 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 49c | 1,392$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.84 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 52c | 1,232$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.09 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 49c | 1,197$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,045$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 965.53$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 50c | 788.91$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.45 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 49c | 713.54$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.04 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 49c | 643.43$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.57 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 49c | 625$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.25 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 49c | 596.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 49c | 594.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 508$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.92 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 49c | 494$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.94 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 46c | 431.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.18 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 62c | 404.6$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.11 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 35c | 368.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 53c | 365.6$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.09 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 49c | 300.2$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.1 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 48c | 295.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 54c | 276.19$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2b48backed Under | 52c | 252$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 233.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Over | 51c | 194.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 48c | 192$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 48c | 189.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Under | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Under | 64c | 174.86$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 52c | 167.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 29c | 164.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…8f47backed Under | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 49c | 154.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 49c | 140.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 50c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 55c | 133.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 133.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 49c | 128.34$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 17c | 122.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed Under | 49c | 122.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Under | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.