TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over41c46,814$19,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,362.011,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over59c42,353$24,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,952.9648148.6%234 W · 247 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c31,569$18,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,164.2510,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c20,710$10,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,659.2611,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under41c9,800$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,78210757.9%62 W · 45 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under40c5,178$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,126.223,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c5,110$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.638,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Under74c4,883$3,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.673630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.9wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under76c3,360$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.894,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77016846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under41c2,904$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.664752.4%339 W · 308 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under43c2,236$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.672,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Over3c1,745$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.89593.4%2 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over57c1,716$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.966,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed Over3c1,700$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58586.9%4 W · 54 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+79.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9a…dbe1backed Over37c1,145$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.6410056%56 W · 44 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+34.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Under46c1,130$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.681,13942.7%486 W · 653 L+11.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Under44c1,075$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6026749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under42c1,024$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.922,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over53c1,000$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.351,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Over3c999$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.97440%0 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Over54c976.54$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.869148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under44c970.68$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.843,21951.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L+148.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Over60c871.38$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.982123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under42c853.5$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.0357053.3%304 W · 266 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under60c776.09$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.849,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c720.24$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.045,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over54c658.34$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5249051%250 W · 240 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under43c655.87$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.8587850.5%443 W · 435 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under44c623.33$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.5311331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under41c527.32$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1216948.5%82 W · 87 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over54c501.16$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.241,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under59c461.63$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.291,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Over57c438.59$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under41c434.06$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.165749.2%323 W · 334 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under44c406.29$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.51,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under42c373.85$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.858,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over57c351.01$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.842,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over50c348.87$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0234139.9%136 W · 205 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c347.27$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.474,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under43c344.74$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1528154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over4c308.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9770737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over56c277.8$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5730150.8%153 W · 148 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under41c273$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0722448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under43c255.83$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.823,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Over59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under80c243.69$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.744,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under43c231.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.991,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under64c227.28$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.861,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over30c224.39$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2412,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under43c222.05$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.571,02250.6%517 W · 505 L+54.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under42c198$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.841,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under53c164.09$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.783,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Over58c155.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9031849.7%158 W · 160 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over58c140$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.21,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under41c137.04$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8517047.1%80 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under43c123$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.111,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Over49c118.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2414752.4%77 W · 70 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under43c113.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.851,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507643.4%33 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over64c101.42$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.415,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under67c97.05$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.885,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda22…f431backed Under53c97.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.922751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,20149.1%590 W · 611 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under54c86.79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.782,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.21,82854.1%989 W · 839 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under61c75.28$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.262,17239.9%866 W · 1,306 L+1.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under43c68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4289548.3%432 W · 463 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under40c63.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2634353.4%183 W · 160 L+18.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over52c63.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over18c62.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.981,19429%346 W · 848 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under49c58.84$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.731,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over58c56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.482,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54a…f771backed Over22c52.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed Over41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52450%12 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Under41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7814559.3%86 W · 59 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0596553%511 W · 454 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea5…6c53backed Over58c47.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.722240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe983…93bfbacked Over31c47.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Over42c46.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3424149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed Over57c45.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615339.9%61 W · 92 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under59c44.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2528948.1%139 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over60c42.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.420945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed Over41c41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.812437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed Over41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.43450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Over41c39.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.342653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under75c38.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4852750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under46c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.981,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Under41c29.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6113357.9%77 W · 56 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over36c27.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.144,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7228…1babbacked Under62c27.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7510553.3%56 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under60c22.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.945358.7%266 W · 187 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under71c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.386,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94ba…4d1abacked Under77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.482250%11 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.