MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x278a13ed93358be144eaff8c69d043f548f6dc812972950b93ad71d37444850f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 41c | 46,814$19,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,362.01 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 59c | 42,353$24,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,952.96 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 31,569$18,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,164.25 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 20,710$10,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,659.26 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 41c | 9,800$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,782 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 40c | 5,178$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.22 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 5,110$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.63 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 74c | 4,883$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.67 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 76c | 3,360$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.89 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 41c | 2,904$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.6 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 43c | 2,236$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.67 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Over | 3c | 1,745$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 59 | 3.4%2 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 57c | 1,716$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.96 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Over | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 58 | 6.9%4 W · 54 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Over | 37c | 1,145$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.64 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 46c | 1,130$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.68 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Under | 44c | 1,075$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 42c | 1,024$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.92 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 53c | 1,000$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.35 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Over | 3c | 999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Over | 54c | 976.54$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.86 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 44c | 970.68$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.84 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Over | 60c | 871.38$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 42c | 853.5$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.03 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 60c | 776.09$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.84 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 720.24$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.04 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 54c | 658.34$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.52 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 43c | 655.87$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.85 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 44c | 623.33$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.53 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 41c | 527.32$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.12 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 54c | 501.16$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.24 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 59c | 461.63$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.29 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 57c | 438.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 41c | 434.06$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.1 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 44c | 406.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.5 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 42c | 373.85$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 57c | 351.01$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 50c | 348.87$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 347.27$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 43c | 344.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.15 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 4c | 308.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 56c | 277.8$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.57 | 301 | 50.8%153 W · 148 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 41c | 273$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.07 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 43c | 255.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 80c | 243.69$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 43c | 231.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 64c | 227.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 224.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 43c | 222.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 42c | 198$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 53c | 164.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Over | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 41c | 137.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 43c | 123$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Over | 49c | 118.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 43c | 113.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 64c | 101.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 67c | 97.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Under | 53c | 97.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 54c | 86.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 61c | 75.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 43c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 40c | 63.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 343 | 53.4%183 W · 160 L | +18.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 18c | 62.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 49c | 58.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 58c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54a…f771backed Over | 22c | 52.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Over | 58c | 47.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe983…93bfbacked Over | 31c | 47.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Over | 42c | 46.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Over | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under | 59c | 44.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 60c | 42.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Over | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Over | 41c | 39.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 75c | 38.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Under | 41c | 29.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 36c | 27.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7228…1babbacked Under | 62c | 27.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 60c | 22.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…4d1abacked Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.