MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x932f56127ff3d7edb8f99120227b9a08d458323f478c0c7a848d5be6788bfd33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Detroit Tigers, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 1,035$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.46 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 1,008$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.28 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 561.7$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 395$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 351$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.42 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 346.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 71c | 313$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 296.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 174.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 133.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Detroit Tigers | 12c | 99.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 92.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 92.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 51.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 51.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 50.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 47.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 47.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 42.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 42.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…b178backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 34.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4b…ba66backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 27.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Kansas City Royals | 77c | 15.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 14.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.