MLB · resolved market
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0c5dabf73e7050822d77d722939be0ba9152d2da9e3ce1900f02b0b287f12c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Kansas City Royals, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Detroit Tigers | 79c | 30,000$23,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,249.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 19,921$6,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,396.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 13,100$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 11,267$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.5 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 11,247$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,646.76 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…7c54backed Kansas City Royals | 0c | 10,175$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 71c | 7,328$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 2,882$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 76c | 1,635$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 1,628$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 30c | 728$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 583.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 529.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.29 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 517.58$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Detroit Tigers | 78c | 308$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 303.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Detroit Tigers | 80c | 299.26$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…2457backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 276.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Kansas City Royals | 28c | 226.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 220.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Kansas City Royals | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 199$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 158.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 150.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 129.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 127$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 111.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 98.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 96.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 93.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 89.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Kansas City Royals | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Detroit Tigers | 74c | 54.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 48.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Kansas City Royals | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0430…80a2backed Kansas City Royals | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 32.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 21.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Detroit Tigers | 79c | 14.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 70 | 80%56 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.